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interbank market. The novel feature of the model is that the expectations of the interbank market outcomes determine the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698833
A DSGE model with a Taylor rule is augmented with an evolutionary switching between technical and fundamental analyses in currency trade, where the fractions of these trading tools are determined within the model. Then, a shock hits the economy. As a result, chaotic dynamics and long swings may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648889
Cancellation of income and substitution effect implied by King-Plosser-Rebelo (1988) preferences breaks tight coefficient restriction between the slope of the Phillips curve and the elasticity of consumption with respect to real interest rate in a sticky price macro model. This facilitates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010674551
How do cyclical fiscal stabilisation policies affect welfare and government bond risk premia? Using a new Keynesian model we find that the effects of fiscal policy rules on the bond premium and welfare crucially depend on the source of business cycle fluctuations. The overall effect is estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818989
Using recent advances in time-varying spectral methods, this research analyses the growth cycles of the core of the euro area in terms of frequency content and phasing of cycles. The methodology uses the con-tinuous wavelet transform (CWT) and also Hilbert wavelet pairs in the setting of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207143
Many indicators of business and growth cycles have been constructed by both private and public agencies and are now in use as monitoring devices of economic conditions and for forecasting purposes. As these indicators are largely composite constructs using other economic data, their frequency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509431
achieve robustness against incomplete information about the structure of the economy by distorting their expectations in a … particular direction. It shows how a linear rational expectations equilibrium under concern for robustness can be solved by … responses of private consumption to government expenditure shocks under robust expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190778
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648940
We assess the performance of optimal Taylor-type interest rate rules, with and without reaction to financial variables, in stabilizing the macroeconomy following financial shocks. We use a DSGE model that comprises both a loan and a bond market, which best suits the contemporary structure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945110
generate booms in the housing market in accordance with the average behavior in the data; expectations on monetary policy and … loan-to-value ratios reduce the severity of expectations-driven cycles and the volatility of household debt, aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009397037