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On 3 July 2015, SUERF organized its sixth joint conference with the Bank of Finland in Helsinki on the subject of …
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This paper presents first steps toward robust early-warning models. We conduct a horse race of conventional statistical methods and more recent machine learning methods. As early-warning models based upon one approach are oftentimes built in isolation of other methods, the exercise is of high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210508
Consider a competitive bank whose illiquid asset portfolio is funded by short-term debt that has to be refinanced … of social externalities of bank failures further lowers the optimal level of transparency. Moreover, asset risk taking …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009651893
This discussion paper presents a microsimulation model of household distress. We use logit analysis to estimate the extent to which a household’s risk of being financially distressed depends on net income after tax and loan servicing costs. The impact of assumed macroeconomic shocks on this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190733
We suggest a complementary tool for financial stability analysis based on stochastic simulation of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model (DSGE) of the macro economy. The paper relates to financial stability research in which financial aggregates crucial to financial stability are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190766
Systemic bank problems arise for a large number of causes and in spite of both active banking supervision and market … fit and proper governance. Government bank support is ultimately constrained by the need to safeguard government … creditworthiness, and bank creditors may therefore have to carry substantial parts of the loss. Monetary policy should aim for a low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190779
The banking system is known to be vulnerable to self-fulfilling crises that are caused by depositors’ coordination failure. We show that transparency regulation may prevent certain types of systemic crises by eliminating the possibility of the coordination failure.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423690