Showing 1 - 10 of 106
I compare nominal GDP level targeting to flexible inflation targeting in a small New Keynesian model subject to the zero lower bound on nominal policy rates. First, I study the performance of optimal discretionary policies. I find that, for a standard calibration, inflation targeting under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670840
"Leaning against the wind" – a tighter monetary policy than necessary for stabilizing inflation around the inflation target and unemployment around a long-run sustainable rate – has been justified as a way of reducing household indebtedness. In a recent paper Lars Svensson claims that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010733867
The substantial fluctuations in house prices recently experienced by many industrialized economies have stimulated a vivid debate on the possible implications for monetary policy. In this paper, we ask whether the U.S. Fed, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England have reacted to house prices....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649042
mortgage rates and government bonds? Using a structural VAR approach, we find that mortgage spread shocks impact the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818842
Policymakers often use the output gap, a noisy signal of economic activity, as a guide for setting monetary policy. Noise in the data argues for policy caution. At the same time, the zero bound on nominal interest rates constrains the central bank's ability to stimulate the economy during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818849
gap, and the interest rate, and we compare with evidence from survey data and a VAR model. We find that the strongest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423752
This paper demonstrates how a target for money growth can be beneficial for an inflation targeting central bank acting under discretion. Because the growth rate of money is closely related to the change in the interest rate and he growth of real output, delegating a money growth target to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423768
for economic analysis. This paper demonstrates how a VAR model with long run restrictions justified by economic theory can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207175
an open economy is used to identify a structural VAR model. The empirical results from the identified VAR model are … conventional results obtain with certain theoretical restrictions imposed on the VAR, another way to achieve this is by using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649023
In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries … with high or low unemployment volatility. We find that MS-VAR models seem to provide a better description of the data than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005649038