Akdogan, Kurmas; Baser, Selen; Chadwick, Meltem Gulenay; … - Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası - 2012
In this paper, we produce short term forecasts for the inflation in Turkey, using a large number of econometric models. In particular, we employ univariate models, decomposition based approaches (both in frequency and time domain), a Phillips curve motivated time varying parameter model, a suite...