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The recent episodes of capital flows to emerging market economies in the aftermath of the global financial crisis once again highlighted the importance of appropriate policy design to cope with strong and volatile capital flows, that are effective not only during surges but also during...
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This paper aims to understand the role of investment shocks in explaining output fluctuations observed in Turkish economy. For this purpose a small open economy DSGE model is estimated on Turkish data for 2002:1-2012:2 period by Bayesian methods. Variance decomposition analysis shows that...
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As an emerging economy, Turkey is an interesting case study because it was one of the hardest hit countries by the crisis, with a year-over-year contraction of 15 percent during the first quarter of 2009. At the same time, anticipating the fallout from the crisis, the Central Bank of the...
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This paper estimates a New Keynesian open economy DSGE model for Turkey by using Bayesian estimation technique for the period of 2002 : q1 - 2009 : q3. It studies fiscal and monetary policy interactions and their role in stabilisation of the economy using a small-scale model following the...
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