The Half-Half (HH) plot is a new graphical method to investigate qualitatively the shape of a regression curve. The empirical HH-plot counts observations in the lower and upper quarter of a strip that moves horizontally over the scatter plot. The plot displays jumps clearly and reveals further...

Two model averaging approaches are used and compared in estimating and forecasting dynamic factor models, the well-known BMA and the recently developed WALS. Both methods propose to combine frequentist estimators using Bayesian weights. We apply our framework to the Armenian economy using...

AMS classifications: 62G05; 62G20; 62G32; 62N02;

Generalized Linear Models are a widely used method to obtain parametric es- timates for the mean function. They have been further extended to allow the re- lationship between the mean function and the covariates to be more flexible via Generalized Additive Models. However the fixed variance...

In the sixties Mandelbrot already showed that extreme price swings are more likely than some of us think or incorporate in our models.A modern toolbox for analyzing such rare events can be found in the field of extreme value theory.At the core of extreme value theory lies the modelling of maxima...

This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the linear and nonlinear time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient parametric models, such as AR or GARCH, whose coefficients...

The L1-median is a robust estimator of multivariate location with good statistical properties. Several algorithms for computing the L1- median are available. Problem speci c algorithms can be used, but also general optimization routines. The aim is to compare dierent algorithms with respect to...

Deciding upon the optimal sample size in advance is a difficult problem in general. Often, the investigator regrets not having drawn a larger sample; in many cases additional observations are done. This implies that the actual sample size is no longer deterministic; hence, even if all sample...

The Sign Covariance Matrix is an orthogonal equivariant estimator of mul- tivariate scale. It is often used as an easy-to-compute and highly robust estimator. In this paper we propose a k-step version of the Sign Covariance Matrix, which improves its e±ciency while keeping the maximal breakdown...

Mathematics Subject Classification (2000) 62G35 · 62F99