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U.S. trading in non-U.S. stocks has grown dramatically. Round-the-clock, these stocks trade in the home market, in the U.S. market and, potentially, in both markets simultaneously. We use a state space model to study 24-hour price discovery. As opposed to the standard "variance ratio'' approach,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137175
This paper describes a forecasting exercise of close-to-open returns on major global stock indices, based on price patterns from foreign markets that have become available overnight. As the close-to-open gap is a scalar response variable to a functional variable, it is natural to focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008513244
The forward premium puzzle (FPP) is the negative correlation between the forward premium and the realized exchange rate return at maturities of a month and beyond. Some recent evidence shows that at maturities of multiple years and at the highest intra day frequency the correlation is positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137192
This model of policy evaluation has been developed to identify factors that cause policy outcomes to diverge from the intended results. In this model the explanatory factors may be inherent to the conceptual and institutional framework to which policy makers adhere, or they may be ‘real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137325
This note clarifies the relation between two competing definitions of the contribution to price discovery in market microstructure models: (i) the information share and (ii) the common factor component weight. It is demonstrated that the two measures are closely related, but that only the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005282007
Most stock exchange regulators around the world reacted to the 2007-2009 crisis by
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008679879
We forecast the term structure of U.S. Treasury zero-coupon bond yields by analyzing a range of models that have been used in the literature. We assess the relevance of parameter uncertainty by examining the added value of using Bayesian inference compared to frequentist estimation techniques,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504892
Variable rate savings accounts have two main features. The client rate is variable and deposits can be invested and withdrawn at any time. However, customer behaviour is not fully rational and actions are often performed with a delay. This paper focusses on measuring the interest rate risk of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504971
We derive a model in which a standard international capital asset pricing (ICAPM) model is nested within an ICAPM model with market imperfections. In the latter model an idiosyncratic stochastic factor affects the return of risky assets (over a risk-free rate) on top of the systematic component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004987440
This discussion paper has resulted in a publication in the A rated journal 'Journal of Business and Economic Statistics'.<p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016262