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In the past decades several features of U.S. unemployment dynamics have been investigated empirically. The original … focus of research was on the duration of unemployment. In later studies the cyclicality of incidence and duration …, compositional effects and duration dependence of the exit rate out of unemployment have been investigated. Unlike the partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136894
of the endogenous state variables unemployment change and population change and of the exogenous input variables change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009201135
This paper first documents the increase in the time lag with which labor input reacts to output fluctuations ("the labor adjustment lag") that is visible in US data since the mid-1980s. We show that a lagged labor adjustment response is optimal in a setting where there is uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004964451
We provide a set of comparable estimates for the rates of inflow to and outflow from unemployment using publicly … available data for fourteen OECD economies. We then devise a method to decompose changes in unemployment into contributions … accounted for by changes in inflow and outflow rates for cases where unemployment deviates from its flow steady state, as it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367438
. This model yields a simple relationship between (i) the unemployment rate, (ii) the value of non-market time, and (iii) the … and allow for measurement error. The estimated wage dispersion for the US is consistent with an unemployment rate of 4 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838544
by investments in R&D performed in the high-wage sector. Unemployment is determined by the costs and benefits of waiting … for a high-paid job. The wage structure, growth, and unemployment are shown to depend on the way effort is extracted. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504903
We investigate experimentally the economic effects of wage taxation to finance unemployment benefits for a closed … the dynamic interaction between the wage tax and unemployment. (ii) Employment is boosted by budget deficits but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005209471
We study optimal government spending in a business cycle model with frictional unemployment. The Ramsey optimal policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137301
We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using … the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We relate this cycle to the business cycle, bank lending conditions, and … financial market variables. In line with earlier studies, these variables appear to explain part of the credit cycle. As our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136965
Various economic theories are available to explain the existence of credit and default cycles. There remains empirical … do, or at least that defaults and credit spreads tend to co-move with macro-economic variables. If true, this is … important for credit risk management as well as for regulation and systemic risk management. In this paper, we use 1927-1997 U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137144