Showing 1 - 10 of 42
The Algarve region in Portugal is often considered as one of the most appealing regions for tourism in the country. Its attractive location and moderate climate have since the mid-1960s brought increasing economic prosperity. As a result of the development of mass tourism, available land-use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321848
The first three factors resulting from a principal components analysis of term structure data are in the literature typically interpreted as driving the level, slope and curvature of the term structure. Using slight generalisations of theorems from total positivity, we present sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144421
This paper puts forward kernel ridge regression as an approach for forecasting with many predictors that are related … overfitting. We extend the kernel ridge regression methodology to enable its use for economic time-series forecasting, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838536
There is a lively debate on the persistence of the current banking crisis' impact on GDP. Impulse Response Functions (IRF)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008484062
-series techniques to distinct time series of regional data may then become a sub-optimal forecasting strategy. In the field of regional … forecasting of socio-economic variables, both linear and non-linear models have recently been applied and evaluated. However … spatial structure that is required for the estimation of spatial models improves the forecasting performance of non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137086
forecasting range. Next, additional forecasts are computed, by combining the NN methodology with Shift-Share Analysis (SSA). Since …-of-sample forecasting ability of the models is evaluated by means of several appropriate statistical indicators. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144453
five major OECD countries, namely United States, Germany, United Kingdom, The Netherlands and Japan, the other forecasting … relevant for forecasting 12 months ahead. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144546
Most stock exchange regulators around the world reacted to the 2007-2009 crisis by
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008679879
This paper documents that factors extracted from a large set of macroeconomic variables bear useful information for predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression models improve upon both benchmark models that only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008740266
This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a monetary union when countries have different pension systems. I use a stochastic two-country two-period overlapping-generations model, where one country has PAYG pensions and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838553