We present a model for hourly electricity load forecasting based on stochastically time-varying processes that are designed to account for changes in customer behaviour and in utility production efficiencies. The model is periodic: it consists of different equations and different parameters for...

In this paper we aim to measure actual volatility within a model-based framework using high-frequency data. In the empirical finance literature it is known that tick-by-tick prices are subject to market micro-structure such as bid-ask bounces and trade information. Such market micro-structure...

This paper presents an empirical examination of oligopoly pricing and consumer search. The theoretical model allows for sequential and non-sequential search and using the theoretical restrictions firm and consumer behavior impose on the data we study the empirical validity of the models. Two...

In this paper the Burtless and Hausman model is used to estimate water demand in Salatiga, Indonesia. Other statistical models, as OLS and IV, are found to be inappropiate. A topic, which does not seem to appear in previous studies, is the fact that the density function of the loglikelihood can...

We analyse the determinants of unemployment persistence in four OECD countries byestimating a structural Bayesian VAR with an informative prior based on an insiders/outsiders model. We explicitly insert unemployment ben- efits and labour taxes so that our identification is not affected by the...

Who is wealthy? This paper presents empirical estimates of household movements into and out of the top percents of the wealth distribution over individual life cycles. There are life-cycle motives and precautionary motives for wealth accumulation. The opportunities to accumulate wealth create...