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good on the present set of measures as the stochastic volatility models, with or without dynamic correlation. …The focus of this article is using dynamic correlation models for the calculation of minimum variance hedge ratios …. Modelling the correlation explicitly is shown to produce the best hedges when applied to the simulated data. For financial time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450720
We develop a new simultaneous time series model for volatility and dependence with long memory (fractionally integrated … volatility and dependence measures. The forecast accuracy is overall higher compared to those from some well-known competing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009386532
distribution specifications or historical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation …, component VaR and incremental VaR readily follow. The proposed estimation approach pairs intuitive appeal with computational … efficiency. We evaluate various alternative estimation methods in an application example and conclude that the proposed approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144576
conditions: in particular it allows for parameter estimation uncertainty and for the copulas to be nested or non-nested. Monte …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144392
We present a model for hourly electricity load forecasting based on stochastically time-varying processes that are designed to account for changes in customer behaviour and in utility production efficiencies. The model is periodic: it consists of different equations and different parameters for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144435
volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144469
We model panel data of crime careers of juveniles from a Dutch Judicial Juvenile Institution. The data are decomposed into a systematic and an individual-specific component, of which the systematic component reflects the general time-varying conditions including the criminological climate....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144538
This paper addresses heterogeneity in determinants of economic growth in a data-driven way. Instead of defining groups of countries with different growth characteristics a priori, based on, for example, geographical location, we use a finite mixture panel model and endogenous clustering to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144578
volatility in the disturbances. The risk of a liquidity trap in the U.S.A. and Japan is evaluated. Although this risk found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450792
considered for the modelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on the simultaneous estimation of parameters … related to the stochastic processes of the mean part and the variance part of the model. The estimation method is based on … carried out to investigate the small-sample properties of the estimation procedure. We present two illustrations which are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005209436