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risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models … to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of these models are used to determine capital requirements and … estimated VaR. In this paper we define risk management in terms of choosing sensibly from a variety of risk models, discuss the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016261
sample behavior of the resulting estimators. We use these new estimators for dealing with a central issue in credit risk. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450790
increase if country selection is incorporated into the strategies, but the risk of the strategies increases proportionally … for the excess returns. We find no evidence of higher market risk or lower liquidity of the strategies. Instead, based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137045
Baker (2002) has demonstrated theoretically that the quality of performance measures used in compensation contracts hinges on two characteristics: noise and distortion. These criteria, though, will only be useful in practice as long as the noise and distortion of a performance measure can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137095
This experimental study is concerned with the impact of the timing of the resolution of risk on people’s willingness to … inferred from decisions regarding hypothetical choice problems, we had participants put their own money at risk in a real … period under delayed resolution (which involved two days). Affective traits and risk attitudes were measured through a web …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144438
Recent research reveals that hedge fund returns exhibit a range of different, possibly non-linear pay-off patterns. It is difficult to qualify all these patterns simultaneously as being rational in a traditional framework for optimal financial decision making. In this paper we present a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144566
An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk. Depending on both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144576
This paper documents that factors extracted from a large set of macroeconomic variables bear useful information for predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression models improve upon both benchmark models that only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008740266
Several Bayesian model combination schemes, including some novel approaches that simultaneously allow for parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and robust time varying model weights, are compared in terms of forecast accuracy and economic gains using financial and macroeconomic time series....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004964452
This paper points out the importance of Stochastic Dominance (SD) efficient sets being convex. We review
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008513225