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risk forecasts to the appropriate monetary authorities at the beginning of each trading day, using one or more risk models … to measure Value-at-Risk (VaR). The risk estimates of these models are used to determine capital requirements and … estimated VaR. In this paper we define risk management in terms of choosing sensibly from a variety of risk models, discuss the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016261
sample behavior of the resulting estimators. We use these new estimators for dealing with a central issue in credit risk. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450790
increase if country selection is incorporated into the strategies, but the risk of the strategies increases proportionally … for the excess returns. We find no evidence of higher market risk or lower liquidity of the strategies. Instead, based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137045
Baker (2002) has demonstrated theoretically that the quality of performance measures used in compensation contracts hinges on two characteristics: noise and distortion. These criteria, though, will only be useful in practice as long as the noise and distortion of a performance measure can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137095
Quadratic optimization for asset portfolios often leads to error maximization, with optimizers zooming in on large errors in the predicted inputs, that is, expected returns and risks. The consequence in most cases is a poor real-time performance. In this paper we show how to improve real-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504908
Contemporary financial stochastic programs typically involve a trade-off between return and (downside)-risk. Using …. We find that the model can be tuned easily using Value-at-Risk (VaR) related benchmarks. In the multi-stage setting, we … formally prove that the optimal solution consists of a sequence of myopic (single-stage) decisions with risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450807
Several Bayesian model combination schemes, including some novel approaches that simultaneously allow for parameter uncertainty, model uncertainty and robust time varying model weights, are compared in terms of forecast accuracy and economic gains using financial and macroeconomic time series....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004964452
This paper points out the importance of Stochastic Dominance (SD) efficient sets being convex. We review
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008513225
We study the relation between the credit cycle and macro-economic fundamentals in an intensity-based framework. Using rating transition and default data of U.S. corporates from Standard and Poor’s over the period 1980—2005 we directly estimate the credit cycle from the micro rating data. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136965
We characterize the investor’s optimal portfolio allocation subject to a budget constraint and a probabilistic VaR constraint in complete markets environments with a finite number of states. The set of feasible portfolios might no longer be connected or convex, while the number of local optima...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137002