Showing 1 - 10 of 27
The aim of the paper is to obtain confidence intervals for the tail index and high quantiles taking into account the optimal rate of convergence of the estimator. The common approach to obtaining confidence intervals presented in the literature is to use the normal distribution approximation at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257367
This discussion paper resulted in an article in the <I>Journal of Macroeconomics</I> (2010). Volume 32(1), 169-184.<P> We investigate the importance of aggregate and consumer-specific or idiosyncratic labour income risk for aggregate consumption changes in the US over the period 1952-2001. Theoretically,...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256286
frequentist and Bayesian estimation. No significant difference is found between the qualities of the forecasts of the whole … density, whereas the Bayesian approach exhibits significantly better left-tail forecast accuracy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256766
This note presents the R package bayesGARCH (Ardia, 2007) which provides functions for the Bayesian estimation of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256998
distribution. The second shows the relevance of the adaptive mixture procedure through the Bayesian estimation of a mixture of ARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257456
Often socio-economic variables are measured on a discrete scale or rounded to protect confidentiality. Nevertheless, when exploring the effect of a relevant covariate on the whole outcome distribution of a discrete response variable, virtually all common quantile regression methods require the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255547
A large number of exact inferential procedures in statistics and econometrics involve the sampling distribution of ratios of random variables. If the denominator variable is positive, then tail probabilities of the ratio can be expressed as those of a suitably defined difference of random...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255898
different bootstrap tests. In the context of static linear regression modelstwo of these are shown to have serious size and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256602
We use a subsample bootstrap method to get a consistent estimate of the asymptotically optimal choice of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257229
determined with a permutation procedure and a parametric bootstrap in the testsfor serial independence and linearity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257371