Adaptive Polar Sampling (APS) is proposed as a Markov chain Monte Carlomethod for Bayesian analysis of models with ill-behaved posteriordistributions. In order to sample efficiently from such a distribution,a location-scale transformation and a transformation to polarcoordinates are used. After...

This discussion paper resulted in a publication in the <A href="http://people.few.eur.nl/hkvandijk/PDF/Bos_Mahieu_and_Van_Dijk_2000_JoAE_daily_exchange_rate.pdf">'Journal of Applied Econometrics'</A>, 2000, 15(6), 671-696.<P> We construct models which enable a decision-maker to analyze the implications oftypical timeseries patterns of daily exchange rates for currency risk management. Ourapproach is...</p></a>

This discussion paper resulted in a publication in (I. Edward George (eds.)), 2001, Bayesian methods with applications to science, policy and official statistics, Eurostat, 31-40.<P> Internationally operating firrns naturally face the decision whether or not to hedge the currencyrisk implied by...</p>

This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'Journal of Applied Econometrics', 2000, 15(6), pages 671-696.<P> Exchange rates typically exhibit time-varying patterns in both means andvariances. The histograms of such series indicate heavy tails. In thispaper we construct models which enable a...</p>

This discussion paper resulted in a publication in: (W. Jansen and J.G. Bethlehem eds.) 'Compstat 2000, Statistics Netherlands', 2000, pages 13-14.<P> Adaptive Polar Sampling is proposed as an algorithm where random drawings aredirectly generated from the target function (posterior) in...</p>