Showing 1 - 10 of 125
. To illustrate the results, we apply the theory to a number of empirically relevant models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272581
-Leibler divergence in empirically relevant settings. We illustrate the theory with an application to time-varying volatility models. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272597
This discussion paper resulted in an article in the <I>Journal of Financial Econometrics</I> (2012). Vol. 10, pages 354-389.<p> This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255584
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'Journal of Econometrics', 2011, 163, 215-230.<P> We propose new scoring rules based on partial likelihood for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255794
We develop a new parameter stability test against the alternative of observation driven generalized autoregressive score dynamics. The new test generalizes the ARCH-LM test of Engle (1982) to settings beyond time-varying volatility and exploits any autocorrelation in the likelihood scores under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255854
By combining two alternative formulations of a test statistic with two alternative resamplingschemes we obtain four different bootstrap tests. In the context of static linear regression modelstwo of these are shown to have serious size and power problems, whereas the remaining two areadequate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256602
under correct specification and under mis-specification. We provide key illustrations of how the theory can be applied to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256845
A novel simulation-based methodology is proposed to test the validity of a set of marginal time series models, where the dependence structure between the time series is taken ‘directly’ from the observed data. The procedure is useful when one wants to summarize the test results for several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257126
This paper introduces a representation of an integrated vectortime series in which the coefficient of multiple correlation computed fromthe long-run covariance matrix of the innovation sequences is a primitiveparameter of the model. Based on this representation, a notion of nearcointegration is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257374
We analyze the impact of the estimation frequency - updating parameter estimates on a daily, weekly, monthly or quarterly basis - for commonly used GARCH models in a large-scale study, using more than twelve years (2000-2012) of daily returns for constituents of the S&P 500 index. We assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257409