Showing 1 - 10 of 163
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'European Economic Review' (2013). Vol. 61, pp. 186-204.<P> Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256912
The supposed irrelevance of historical costs for rational decision making has been the subject of much interest in the economic literature. In this paper we explore whether individual decision making under risk is affected by the cost of the supplied information. Outside of the lab, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256591
The strategy method is becoming an important tool in experimentalmethodology. This study examines how well this method works in anindividual decision experiment. Subjects are faced with a sequentialsearch problem. After extensive practice solving the problem andformulating strategies, they play...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256616
We provide a game theoretic analysis of how power shapes the clarity of communication. We analyze information transmission in a cheap talk bargaining game between an informed Sender and an uninformed Receiver. Theoretically, we find that the maximum amount of information that can be transmitted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256036
behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and aggregate phenomena such …. The simplicity of behavioral learning equilibria makes coordination of individual expectations on such an aggregate … outcome more likely. In a first application, an asset pricing model with AR(1) dividends, a unique behavioral learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257225
parameters in a stylised macroeconomic model in which agents are boundedly rational and use an adaptive learning rule to form … expectations of the endogenous variable. In particular, when the learning recursion is subject to so-called decreasing gain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255677
We study two aspects of globalization. It allows a decision-maker to go beyond his own local experience and to learn from other decision-makers in addressing common problems. This improves the identification and diffusion of best practices. It also provides extra information to `markets' that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257292
We study a model of collective decision making with endogenous information collection.Agents collect information about the consequences of a project, communicate, and then vote onthe project. We examine under what conditions communication may increase the probability thatgood decisions are made....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255757
successfully but nevertheless lost public support, and vice versa. We show that learning dynamics can rationalize this apparent … identity (reform winner or loser?) more pessimistic about their chances of benefiting from the reform. Consequently, learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255925
We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256224