Showing 1 - 10 of 95
In this paper we present a new three-step approach to the estimation of Generalized Orthogonal GARCH (GO-GARCH) models, as proposed by van der Weide (2002). The approach only requires (non-linear) least-squares methods in combination with univariate GARCH estimation, and as such is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257459
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in the <A HREF="https://apps.webofknowledge.com/full_record.do?product=UA&search_mode=GeneralSearch&qid=5&SID=T2lPmvB33HytcbnHQmV&page=1&doc=4">'Oxford Economic Papers-New Series'</A>, 2013, 65(2), 219-239.<P> This paper first documents the increase in the time lag with which labor input reacts to output fluctuations ("the labor adjustment lag") that is visible in US data since the...</p></a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256598
This paper concerns estimating parameters in a high-dimensional dynamic factormodel by the method of maximum likelihood. To accommodate missing data in theanalysis, we propose a new model representation for the dynamic factor model. Itallows the Kalman filter and related smoothing methods to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256438
This discussion paper led to a publication in the <I>International Journal of Forecasting</I> (2013). Vol. 29, pages 676-694.<P> We extend the class of dynamic factor yield curve models for the inclusion of macro-economic factors. We benefit from recent developments in the dynamic factor literature for...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256536
In a recent paper Hong and Shum [2006. Using price distributions to estimate search costs. Rand Journal of Economics 37, 257–275] present a structural method to estimate search cost distributions. We extend their approach to the case of oligopoly and present a new maximum likelihood method to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256946
This discussion paper resulted in an article in the <I>Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A</I> (2008). Vol. 171, issue 1, pages 265-277.<P> Risk is at the center of many policy decisions in companies, governments and other institutions. The risk of road fatalities concerns local governments...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257128
This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'Journal of Applied Econometrics'</I>, 2014, 29(1), 65-90.<P> We propose a new approach to the modelling of the term structure of interest rates. We consider the general dynamic factor model and show how to impose smoothness restrictions on the factor...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257133
This paper studies vector autoregressive models with parsimoniously time-varying parameters. The parameters are assumed to follow parsimonious random walks, where parsimony stems from the assumption that increments to the parameters have a non-zero probability of being exactly equal to zero. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271948
The strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator in observation-driven models usually requires the study of the model both as a filter for the time-varying parameter and as a data generating process (DGP) for observed data. The probabilistic properties of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272581
nowcasts. The combination weights are latent random variables that depend on past nowcasting performance and other learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272583