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We propose a new class of observation driven time series models referred to as Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. The driving mechanism of the GAS model is the scaled score of the likelihood function. This approach provides a unified and consistent framework for introducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255643
Two of the fastest growing frontiers in econometrics and quantitative finance are time series and financial econometrics. Significant theoretical contributions to financial econometrics have been made by experts in statistics, econometrics, mathematics, and time series analysis. The purpose of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257486
-RV model achieves the best forecast performance, which highlights the importance of asymmetry and upper tail dependence for … copulas do not improve the accuracy of volatility forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257654
This paper investigates whether privatization in emerging economies has a significant indirect effect on local stock market development through the resolution of political risk. We argue that a sustained privatization program represents a major political test that gradually resolves uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255862