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cointegration are provided. As a first application, we give analyticalcorroboration of the conjecture that the finite sample … coefficient. Hence, the notionof near cointegration helps to bridge the gap between the polar cases ofspurious regression and … cointegration. Secondly, we characterize theproperties of conventional cointegration methods under near cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257374
interpreted as the status quo. Thus, deviations from stationarity can be driven by expected changes in baseline consumption, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256358
We study the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator for a class of time series models driven by the score function of the predictive likelihood. This class of nonlinear dynamic models includes both new and existing observation driven time series models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256845
stationarity and invertibility conditions. The derivation of DCC from a vector random coefficient moving average process raises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257506
The strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator in observation-driven models usually requires the study of the model both as a filter for the time-varying parameter and as a data generating process (DGP) for observed data. The probabilistic properties of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272581
.F.R. Science Economique, University de Franche-Comté]. In the non-stationary cointegration case, the limiting distribution of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011249543
A Bayesian model averaging procedure is presented that makes use of a finite mixture of many model structures within the class of vector autoregressive (VAR) processes. It is applied to two empirical issues. First, stability of the Great Ratios in U.S. macro-economic time series is investigated,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255775
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in 'The International Economic Review', 2013, 54(1), 385-402.<P> The empirical support for features of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with two technology shocks is valuated using Bayesian model averaging over vector autoregressions....</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255853
cointegration analysis between the variables, toexamine the permanent income hypothesis, may not be valid. To model thechanging … that there exist a cointegration relation between US percapita disposable income and consumption, after correction for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256000
) processes. The linear VAR model is extendedto permit cointegration, a range of deterministic processes, equilibrium restrictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256713