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Defining European Wholesale Electricity Markets: An “And/Or” Approach
Dijkgraaf, Elbert; Janssen, Maarten C.W. - Tinbergen Instituut - 2009
An important question in the dynamic European wholesale markets for electricity is whether to define the geographical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255814
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Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk
Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Scharth, Marcel - Tinbergen Instituut - 2014
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272575
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Forecasting the Variability of Stock Index Returns with Stochastic Volatility Models and Implied Volatility
Hol, Eugenie; Koopman, Siem Jan - Tinbergen Instituut - 2000
returns and intradaily squared returns for forecasting horizons rangingfrom 1 to 10 days. For the daily squared returns we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255461
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Estimation and Forecasting of Large Realized Covariance Matrices and Portfolio Choice
Callot, Laurent; Kock, Anders B.; Medeiros, Marcelo C. - Tinbergen Instituut - 2014
In this paper we consider modeling and forecasting of large realized covariance matrices by penalized vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256058
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Realized Volatility Risk
Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Scharth, Marcel - Tinbergen Instituut - 2013
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256164
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Examining the Nelson-Siegel Class of Term Structure Models
Pooter, Michiel De - Tinbergen Instituut - 2007
forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256459
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Risk Modelling and Management: An Overview
Chang, Chia-Lin; Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; … - Tinbergen Instituut - 2013
under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes … dynamics of BRICS's country risk ratings and domestic stock markets, U.S. stock market and oil price, forecasting value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256696
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Low Frequency and Weighted Likelihood Solutions for Mixed Frequency Dynamic Factor Models
Blasques, Francisco; Koopman, Siem Jan; Mallee, Max - Tinbergen Instituut - 2014
The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256800
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Periodic Unobserved Cycles in Seasonal Time Series with an Application to US Unemployment
Koopman, Siem Jan; Ooms, Marius; Hindrayanto, Irma - Tinbergen Instituut - 2006
, pages 683-713.<P> This paper discusses identification, specification, estimation and forecasting for a general class of … formulations are introduced for exact maximum likelihood estimation, component estimation and forecasting. Identification issues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256849
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Modelling and Simulation: An Overview
McAleer, Michael; Chan, Felix; Oxley, Les - Tinbergen Instituut - 2013
underwriters and issuing firms in the Japanese corporate bond market, stochastic life table forecasting: a time-simultaneous fan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256964