Showing 1 - 10 of 113
In this paper we develop and estimate a behavioral model of inflation dynamics with monopolistic competition, staggered … naive. Fundamentalists are forward-looking in the sense that they believe in a present-value relationship between inflation … forecast future inflation. Agents are allowed to switch between these different forecasting strategies conditional on their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256332
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255780
, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256191
This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a … inflation at the cost of the funded country. In response to these conflicting interests about inflation, inflation risk may rise … with the level of debt in the PAYG country. Higher inflation risk harms both countries. Actually, in contrast to the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257504
crisis is empirically examined. The standard model for themonetary analysis of inflation, i.e. the P-Star model by Hallman … long run dynamics of CPI inflation inIndonesia remarkably weIl. Hence, there is an empirical support for the assertion that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257626
/full">'Journal of Applied Econometrics'</A>, 2014, 29(7), 1164-1182.<P> Changing time series properties of US inflation and … inflation are incorporated and their relative importance evaluated. Survey data on expected inflation are introduced to … credible evidence is found on endogeneity and long run stability between inflation and marginal costs. Backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255806
This paper examines equilibrium determination under different monetary policy regimes when the government might default on its debt. We apply a cash-in-advance model where the government does not have access to non-distortionary taxation and does not account for initial outstanding debt when it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256163
In this paper we identify the effects of ageing on the relative price of nontradeables versus tradeables. We consider two cases. In a first specification, age effects only account for short-run dynamics. An alternative case allows for permanent age effects. Estimating the respective cases by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256252
We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the … conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the … efficient estimates of the parameters using a monthly dataset of core inflation for which we consider different subsamples of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256451
to restrict more variables and leave the responses of US output and prices unrestricted (to allow for the working capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256732