Most measures of vulnerability are a-theoretic and essentially static. In this paper we use a stochastic Ramsey model … to find a household's optimal welfare and we measure vulnerability as the shortfall from the welfare attained if the … household consumed permanently at the poverty line. The results indicate that vulnerability is very sensitive to the time …

forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the left tail in financial risk management. By construction, existing …

-free and are relevant to many fields encountering catastrophic risk analysis, such as, perhaps most noticeably, insurance and … risk management. …

risk management. Ourapproach is Bayesianwhere extensive use is made of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. The effects …

papers that were presented at the 2011 Madrid International Conference on “Risk Modelling and Management” (RMM2011). The … papers cover the following topics: currency hedging strategies using dynamic multivariate GARCH, risk management of risk … under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes …

result from the modellingassumptions and the attitudes towards risk. …

improved risk management during the global financial crisis, the role of banking regulation in an economy under credit risk and …-market noise, stress testing correlation matrices for risk management, whether bank relationship matters for corporate risk taking … illustrations, EVT and tail-risk modelling, with evidence from market indices and volatility series, the economics of data using …

patterns for currency risk management.Our approach is Bayesian where extensive use is made of Markov chainMonte Carlo methods …

portfolio risk, and changes diversification arguments when a portfolio is constructed. When R&D projects exhibit option …. Real option theory argues that research projects with conditional phases have option-like risk and return properties, and … are different from unconditional projects. We show that although the risk of a portfolio always depends on the correlation …

How does risk or uncertainty in the productivity of research affect the growth rate of the economy? To answer this …&D from profit-maximizing firms. The uncertainty arises from the productivity of these investments in R&D. The main result of … this analysis is that the relationship between long-run growth and uncertainty (on the productivity of knowledge creation …