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the effect of news is typically extremely small; DCC cannot be distinguished empirically from diagonal BEKK in small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255860
from diagonal BEKK in small systems; and DCC may be a useful filter or a diagnostic check, but it is not a model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256093
This note discusses some aspects of the paper by Hu and Tsay (2014), “Principal Volatility Component Analysis”. The key issues are considered, and are also related to existing conditional covariance and correlation models. Some caveats are given about multivariate models of time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257320
The paper proposes a general asymmetric multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility (AMWSV) diffusion process which accommodates leverage, feedback effects and multifactor for the covariance process. The paper gives the closed-form solution for the conditional and unconditional Laplace transform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256372
There has recently been growing interest in modeling and estimating alternative continuous time multivariate stochastic volatility models. We propose a continuous timefractionally integrated Wishart stochastic volatility (FIWSV) process. We derive the conditional Laplace transform of the FIWSV...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257492
the multivariate BEKK model for four TCI indicators to predict specific tourism and economic environmental indicators for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272578
Taiwan tourism industry. The analysis is based on two conditional multivariate models, BEKK-AGARCH and VARMA-AGARCH, in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256725
Since Black (1976), the source of the stock price volatility smirk has remained a controversy. The volatility smirk is a side effect of agency conflict. An important distinction is that the smirk occurs in the optimum, even after agency conflict has been resolved. The slope of the smirk is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268659
In this paper we derive a market value for Guaranteed Annuity Optionusing martingale modeling techniques. Furthermore, we show how to construct a static replicating portfolio of vanillainterest rate swaptions that replicates the Guaranteed Annuity Option. Finally, we illustrate with historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255515
Electricity is not storable. As a consequence, electricity demand and supply need to be in balance at any moment in time as a shortage in production volume cannot be compensated with supply from inventories. However, if the installed power supply capacity is very flexible, variation in demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255605