Showing 1 - 10 of 27
The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging … problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate … dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial missing values are inserted for the intermediate months of the quarterly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256800
Time varying patterns in US growth are analyzed using various univariate model structures, starting from a naive model … including time variation in the mean and variance requires careful investigation of possible identification issues of the … data. Empirical results indicate that incorporating time variation in mean growth rates as well as in volatility are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257064
We introduce a new model for time-varying spatial dependence. The model extends the well-known static spatial lag model … study the information theoretic optimality of the updating steps for the time-varying spatial dependence parameter. We adopt …-border lending data and include country-specific and Europe-wide risk factors as controls. We find a high, time-varying degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257308
space analysis. Key economic variables are modeled jointly with principal components from a large time series panel of … macroeconomic indicators using a multivariate unobserved components time series model. When the key economic variables are observed … precisions when panel size and time series dimensions are moderate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257430
This paper proposes a functional specification approach for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models that explores the properties of the solution method used to approximate policy functions. In particular, the solution-driven specification takes the properties of the solution method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257462
them more suitable for real-time forecasting. We show that the factor models have been able to systematically beat the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257503
Legislation affects corporate governance and the return to human and financial capital. We allow the preference of a political majority to determine both the governance structure and the extent of labor rents. In a society where median voters have relatively more at stake in the form of human...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255512
citizens thus strongly affects their access to finance. Finally, we review the recent literature on the time variation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255875
This paper tests the policitcal dimensions of the presidential cycle effect in U.S. financial markets. The presidential cycle effect states that average stock market returns are significantly higher in the last two years compared to the first two years of a presidential term. We confirm the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255919
At the start of their term, politicians often announce which issue they intend to address. To shed light on this agenda setting, we develop a model in which a politician has to decide whether or not to address a public issue. Addressing an issue means that the politician investigates the issue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256020