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An anticipated benefit of the prospective European Banking Union is stronger supervision of European banks. Another benefit would be enhanced resolution of banks in distress. While national governments confine themselves to the domestic effects of a banking failure, a European Resolution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255493
We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this nonparametric measure is not predisposed toward the normal distribution and can allow for nonlinear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255868
We find that investor sentiment should affect a firm's employment policy in a world with moral hazard and noise traders. Consistent with the model's predictions, we show that higher sentiment among US investors leads to: (1) higher employment growth worldwide; (2) lower labor productivity, as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255878
Systemic banking crises often continue into recessions with large output losses (Reinhart & Rogoff 2009a). In this paper we ask whether the way Governments intervene in the financial sector has an impact on the economy's subsequent performance. Our theoretical analysis focuses on bank incentives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256408
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272575
returns and intradaily squared returns for forecasting horizons rangingfrom 1 to 10 days. For the daily squared returns we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255461
In this paper we consider modeling and forecasting of large realized covariance matrices by penalized vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256058
forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256164
forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256459
under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes … dynamics of BRICS's country risk ratings and domestic stock markets, U.S. stock market and oil price, forecasting value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256696