Showing 1 - 10 of 84
As both the natural level of output and the New Keynesian output gap cannot be observed in practice, there is quite some debate on the question how these variables look like in practice. Rather than taking the standard approach of using a time trend or the HP-filter to obtain estimates of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256869
/full">'Journal of Applied Econometrics'</A>, 2014, 29(7), 1164-1182.<P> Changing time series properties of US inflation and … inflation are incorporated and their relative importance evaluated. Survey data on expected inflation are introduced to … credible evidence is found on endogeneity and long run stability between inflation and marginal costs. Backward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255806
In this paper, we study the short-run and long-run comovement between prices and real activity in the G7 countries during the postwar period using vector autoregressive systems and frequency-domain filters. We find several patterns that are robust across countries and time periods. Typically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257196
Changing time series properties of US inflation and economic activity are analyzed within a class of extended Phillips … models that describe changing patterns in low and high frequencies and backward as well as forward inflation expectation … frequencies are carefully modeled. Modeling inflation expectations using survey data and adding level shifts and stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257340
This discussion paper led to an article in the <I>Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics</I> (2009). Vol. 71, pages 683-713.<P> This paper discusses identification, specification, estimation and forecasting for a general class of periodic unobserved components time series models with stochastic...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256849
concerned with themodelling and forecasting of two U.S. macroeconomic time series:inflation and industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255780
, notwithstanding that inflation in some countries tends to converge towards the euro area level. Overa11, inflation persistence has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256191
In this paper we develop and estimate a behavioral model of inflation dynamics with monopolistic competition, staggered … naive. Fundamentalists are forward-looking in the sense that they believe in a present-value relationship between inflation … forecast future inflation. Agents are allowed to switch between these different forecasting strategies conditional on their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256332
This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a … inflation at the cost of the funded country. In response to these conflicting interests about inflation, inflation risk may rise … with the level of debt in the PAYG country. Higher inflation risk harms both countries. Actually, in contrast to the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257504
crisis is empirically examined. The standard model for themonetary analysis of inflation, i.e. the P-Star model by Hallman … long run dynamics of CPI inflation inIndonesia remarkably weIl. Hence, there is an empirical support for the assertion that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257626