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behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and aggregate phenomena such …. The simplicity of behavioral learning equilibria makes coordination of individual expectations on such an aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257225
Biased longevity expectations will lead to suboptimal decisions regarding saving, retirement, annuitization and health …, with consequences for wellbeing in old age. Systematic differences in the accuracy of longevity expectations may partly … veracity of expectations are due to the less educated and cognitively able responding less to changes in objective mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011275101
heterogeneous expectations and a noisy rational expectations asset pricing model with heterogeneous information signals. In each …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255525
macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We … agents have heterogeneous expectations and update their beliefs based on past performance as in Brock and Hommes (1997). The … rational expectations equilibrium as multiple equilibria may persist, even when a fully rational, but costly, expectations rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255558
We asked participants of a large-scale, real-life peak avoidance experiment to provide estimates of their average in-vehicle travel time for their morning commute. Comparing these reported travel times to the corresponding actual travel times, we find that travel times are overstated by a factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255638
Rational expectations assumes perfect, model consistency between beliefs and market realizations. Here we discuss … behaviorally rational expectations, characterized by an observable, parsimonious and intuitive form of consistency between beliefs …-order autocorrelations. Secondly, an asset pricing model with heterogeneous expectations and agents switching between a mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255795
example, we discuss a behavioral asset pricing model with heterogeneous expectations. Bubble and crash dynamics is triggered …, showing that in positive feedback systems individuals coordinate expectations on non-rational, almost self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255872
Can vanity do any good? It may seem obvious to answer this question in the negative, as economists have shown how reputational concerns lead agents e.g. to ignore valuable information, to herd, and to become overly risk averse. We explore how proud agents may be a social blessing. An agent may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255970
Strong consistency of least squares estimators of the slope parameter in simple linear regression models is established for predetermined stochastic regressors. The main result covers a class of models which falls outside the applicability of what is presently available in the literature. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256174
, including temporary bubbles, sudden market crashes, price resistance and price switching between different levels. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256308