Showing 1 - 10 of 102
Cyclicality in the losses of bank loans is important for bank risk management. Because loans have a different risk … default rate and loss given default of bank loans share a cyclical component, related to the business cycle. We infer this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272584
We extend the Hidden Markov Model for defaults of Crowder, Davis, and Giampieri (2005) to include covariates. The covariates enhance the prediction of transition probabilities from high to low default regimes. To estimate the model, we extend the EM estimating equations to account for the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255628
A banking union limits international bank default contagion, eliminating inefficient liquidations. For particularly low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255924
Diamond-Dybvig model cast in a global games framework, we show that while the CoCo conversion of the issuing bank may bring … the bank back into compliance with capital requirements, it will nevertheless raise the probability of the bank being run … on other banks in the system in the likely case of correlated asset returns, so bank runs elsewhere in the banking system …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255852
This survey reviews the literature on the political economy of financial structure, broadly defined to include the size of capital markets and banking systems as well as the distribution of access to external finance across firms.The theoretical literature on the institutional basis for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255875
While financial liberalization has in general favorable effects, reforms in countries with poor regulation is often followed by financial crises. We explain this variation as the outcome of lobbying interests capturing the reform process. Even after liberalization, market investors must rely on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255930
We investigate the effect of model specification on the aggregation of (correlated) market and credit risk. We focus on the functional form linking systematic credit risk drivers to default probabilities. Examples include the normal based probit link function for typical structural models, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256003
We develop a model of endogenous lobby formation in which wealth inequalityand political accountability undermine entry and financial development. In-cumbents seek a low level of effective investor protection to prevent potentialentrants from raising capital. They succeed because they can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256172
This survey reviews how a recent political economy literature helps explaining variation in governance, competition, funding composition and access to credit. Evolution in political institutions can account for financial evolution, and appear critical to explain rapid changes in financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256233
Entry requires external finance, especially for less wealthy entrepreneurs, so poor investor protection limits competition. We model how incumbents lobby harder to block access to finance to entrants when politicians are less accountable to voters. In a broad cross-section of countries and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256887