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. Subjects are less likely to make conditionally optimal production decision for given forecasts in treatment 3) where the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256912
organize data well in previous experiments meant to test other concepts. This experiment provides the first systematic test of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256353
the size of credible deviations. In our experiment, we find support for the relevance of credible deviations. In addition … experiments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256700
size of credible deviations. ACDC organizes the results from several cheap talk experiments in which behavior converged to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257267
, within a standard New Keynesian model, by means of laboratory experiments with human subjects. Three aggregate outcomes are … experimental data. A simple heterogeneous expectations switching model fits individual learning as well as aggregate macro behavior … effects on inflation in our experimental economies, although convergence can be slow in presence of evolutionary learning. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257145
and realizations. We discuss three case-studies. Firstly, a New Keynesian macro model with a representative agent learning …-reverting fundamental rule and a trend-following rule, based upon their past performance. The third example concerns learning …-to-forecast laboratory experiments, where under positive feedback individuals coordinate expectations on non-rational, almost self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255795
trend-following rule, based upon their relative performance. We also discuss learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments …We discuss recent work on bounded rationality and learning in relation to Soros' principle of reflexivity and stress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255872
whether the market can learn the rational fundamental price. We present an experiment where the fundamental price experiences … the short run and over-reaction in the long run. A simple evolutionary selection model of individual learning explains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257529
Different theories of expectation formation and learning usually yield different outcomes for realized market prices in … dynamic models. The purpose of this paper is to investigate expectation formation and learning in a controlled experimental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256156
Biased longevity expectations will lead to suboptimal decisions regarding saving, retirement, annuitization and health, with consequences for wellbeing in old age. Systematic differences in the accuracy of longevity expectations may partly explain heterogeneity in economic behaviour by education...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011275101