Showing 1 - 10 of 34
In this paper we compare the predictive abilility of Stochastic Volatility (SV)models to that of volatility forecasts … implied by option prices. We develop anSV model with implied volatility as an exogeneous var able in the varianceequation … stochastic shocks incorporated in the SVXmodels. The out-of-sample volatility forecasts are evaluated against dailysquared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255461
Publication in the 'Journal of Business & Economic Statistics' forthcoming.<A> We introduce a new efficient importance sampler for nonlinear non-Gaussian state space models. We propose a general and efficient likelihood evaluation method for this class of models via the combination of numerical and...</a>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255569
process, at present this is not the case for the Heston stochastic volatility model, where the variance is modelled as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255776
This discussion paper led to an article in <I>Statistica Neerlandica</I> (2003). Vol. 57, issue 4, pages 439-469.<P> The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255780
most important factor in reducing portfolio variance is the use of a flexible model for time varying volatility, rather … good on the present set of measures as the stochastic volatility models, with or without dynamic correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255869
accounts for time variation in macroeconomic volatility, known as the great moderation. In particular, we consider an … volatility processes and mixture distributions for the irregular components and the common cycle disturbances enable us to … that time-varying volatility is only present in the a selection of idiosyncratic components while the coefficients driving …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255922
At the time of writing this article, Fourier inversion is the computational method of choice for a fast and accurate calculation of plain vanilla option prices in models with an analytically available characteristic function. Shifting the contour of integration along the complex plane allows for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256210
, including market-based estimation of stochastic volatility models, the fine structure of equity-index option dynamics, leverage … and feedback effects in multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility for option pricing, option pricing with non …-Gaussian scaling and infinite-state switching volatility, stock return and cash flow predictability: the role of volatility risk, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256249
index by univariate and multivariate long-memory stochastic volatility models.<P> Forthcoming in <I>Econometric Reviews</I>. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261933
conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic volatility process. We develop a Monte Carlo maximum likelihood method to obtain … variance, in the order of integration, in the short memory characteristics and in the volatility of volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256451