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illustrations, EVT and tail-risk modelling, with evidence from market indices and volatility series, the economics of data using … simple model free volatility in a high frequency world, arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces for options on single … improved risk management during the global financial crisis, the role of banking regulation in an economy under credit risk and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256871
Although the main interest in the modelling of electricity prices is often on volatility aspects, we argue that … towards volatility features of the time series.For the older electricity market of Nord Pool in Norway, it is found that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256477
). Volume 29(C), pages 381-401.<P> This paper investigates the stock returns and volatility size effects for firm performance in … tourists to travel to Taiwan. Four conditional univariate GARCH models are used to estimate the volatility in the stock indexes … been important changes in the volatility size effects for firm performance, regardless of firm size and estimation period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255765
Most stock exchange regulators around the world reacted to the 2007-2009 crisis byimposing bans or regulatory … liquidity, especially for stocks with small market capitalization,high volatility and no listed options; (ii) slowed down price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255488
dealers require compensation for inventory risk and this compensation needs to be higher when market uncertainty is larger. We … explanation of yield movements based on the behaviour of primary dealers with limited risk-bearing capacity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255665
predicting monthly US excess stock returns and volatility over the period 1980-2005. Factor-augmented predictive regression … superior market timing ability and volatility timing ability, while a mean-variance investor would be willing to pay an annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256330
This discussion paper resulted in an article in the <I>Journal of the American Statistical Association</I> (2007). Vol. 102, issue 477, pages 16-27.<p> Novel periodic extensions of dynamic long memory regression models with autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic errors are considered for the analysis...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256266
This discussion paper led to a publication in the <I>Electronic Journal of Statistics</I> (2014). Vol. 8, pages 1088-1112.<P> We characterize the dynamic properties of Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) processes by identifying regions of the parameter space that imply stationarity and ergodicity. We...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256295
See the publication in the <I>Journal of Risk and Financial Management</I> (2012). Volume 5(1), pages 78-114.<P> The … volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models, including GARCH … the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257617
market development through the resolution of political risk. We argue that a sustained privatization program represents a … major political test that gradually resolves uncertainty over political commitment to a market-oriented policy as well as to … improvements in perceived political risk. Our analysis further shows that changes in political risk in general tend to have a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255862