This paper examines the pricing of public debt in a quantitative macroeconomic model with government default risk …. We analyze the conditions under which expected default risk premia can quantitatively rationalize sizeable spreads on … public bonds. Sovereign default risk premia turn out to emerge at either very high debt to output ratios, or if the variance …

Empirical measures of world consumption growth risk have failed to rationalize the cross-section of country equity … returns. We propose a new factor, termed “the global consumption factor”, to explain the patterns in risk premiums on … from 47 developed and emerging market countries over a four-decade period. Our risk factor reflects changes in the cross …

extensive number of robustness checks. Overall, downside cash flow risk is priced most consistently across different samples … ability. The downside cash flow risk premium is mainly attributable to small stocks. The risk premium for large stocks appears … much more driven by a compensation for symmetric, cash flow related risk. Finally, we multiply our premia estimates by …

from other potential explanations like volatility feedback, the time-varying risk premium, and a down-market effect. …

degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which … distribution of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized …