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The Euro Introduction and Non-Euro Currencies
Dijk, Dick van; Munandar, Haris; Hafner, Christian M. - Tinbergen Instituut - 2005
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in 'Applied Financial Economics', 2011, 21, 95-116.<P> This paper documents the existence of large structural breaks in the unconditional correlations among the British pound, Norwegian krone, Swedish krona, Swiss franc, and euro exchange rates...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255883
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Defending against Speculative Attacks
Daniels, Tijmen R.; Jager, Henk; Klaassen, Franc - Tinbergen Instituut - 2008
While virtually all modern models of exchange rate crises recognise that the decision to abandon an exchange rate peg depends on how harshly policy makers are willing to defend the regime, they virtually never model how the exchange rate is defended. In this paper we incorporate both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256910
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Model-free Measurement of Exchange Market Pressure
Klaassen, Franc; Jager, Henk - Tinbergen Instituut - 2007
If there is exchange market pressure (EMP), monetary authorities can use the interest rate and official interventions to offset this depreciation tendency, or they can let the exchange rate change. We introduce a new approach to derive how these three variables should be combined to measure EMP....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257027
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Round-the-Clock Price Discovery for Cross-Listed Stocks: US-Dutch Evidence
Menkveld, Albert J.; Koopman, Siem Jan; Lucas, André - Tinbergen Instituut - 2003
U.S. trading in non-U.S. stocks has grown dramatically. Round-the-clock, these stocks trade in the home market, in the U.S. marketand, potentially, in both markets simultaneously. We use a state space model to study 24-hour price discovery. As opposed to thestandard "variance ratio'' approach,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256044
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Splitting Orders in Fragmented Markets
Menkveld, Bert - Tinbergen Instituut - 2001
A number of recent theoretical studies have explored trading in fragmented markets, e.g. Biais etal. (2000), a phenomenon increasingly witnessed in modern markets. The key assumptiongenerating the results is that there is at least one liquidity demander exploiting access to allmarkets by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256874
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Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics: An Overview
Chang, Chia-Lin; Allen, David; McAleer, Michael - Tinbergen Instituut - 2013
liquidity shock, separating information maximum likelihood estimation of the integrated volatility and covariance with micro … illustrations, EVT and tail-risk modelling, with evidence from market indices and volatility series, the economics of data using … simple model free volatility in a high frequency world, arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces for options on single …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256871
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Large Swings in Currencies driven by Fundamentals
Cumperayot, Phornchanok; Vries, Casper G. de - Tinbergen Instituut - 2006
Exchange rate returns are fat-tailed distributed. We provide evidence that the apparent non-normality derives from the behavior of macroeconomic fundamentals. Economic and probabilistic arguments are offered for such a relationship. Empirical support is given by testing against normality and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255570
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Price Discovery on Foreign Exchange Markets with Differentially Informed Traders
Jong, Frank de; Mahieu, Ronald; Schotman, Peter; … - Tinbergen Instituut - 1999
This paper uses Reuters exchange rate data to investigate thecontributions to the price discovery process by individual banks in theforeign exchange market. We propose multivariate time series models aswell as models in tick time to study the dynamic relations between thequotes of individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255752
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The Forward Premium Puzzle only emerges gradually
Bernoth, Kerstin; Hagen, Jürgen von; Vries, Casper G. de - Tinbergen Instituut - 2007
The forward premium puzzle (FPP) is the negative correlation between the forward premium and the realized exchange rate return at maturities of a month and beyond. Some recent evidence shows that at maturities of multiple years and at the highest intra day frequency the correlation is positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256149
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Exchange Rate Policy under Sovereign Default Risk
Schabert, Andreas - Tinbergen Instituut - 2011
We examine monetary policy options for a small open economy where sovereign default might occur due to intertemporal insolvency. Under interest rate policy and floating exchange rates the equilibrium is indetermined. Under a fixed exchange rate the equilibrium is uniquely determined and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256298