Showing 1 - 10 of 21
This discussion paper resulted in an article in the <I>Journal of Health Economics</I> (2013). Volume 32, pages 88-105.<P> Explanations of growth in health expenditures have restricted attention to the mean. We explain change throughout the distribution of expenditures, providing insight into how growth...</p></i>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257496
under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes … dynamics of BRICS's country risk ratings and domestic stock markets, U.S. stock market and oil price, forecasting value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256696
The multivariate analysis of a panel of economic and financial time series with mixed frequencies is a challenging problem. The standard solution is to analyze the mix of monthly and quarterly time series jointly by means of a multivariate dynamic model with a monthly time index: artificial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256800
, pages 683-713.<P> This paper discusses identification, specification, estimation and forecasting for a general class of … formulations are introduced for exact maximum likelihood estimation, component estimation and forecasting. Identification issues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256849
underwriters and issuing firms in the Japanese corporate bond market, stochastic life table forecasting: a time-simultaneous fan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256964
"><I>Journal of Applied Econometrics</I></A>, 2014, 29, pages 693-712.<P> Many economic studies on inflation forecasting have found … existing studies on interest rate forecasting either treat yields as being stationary, without any shifting endpoints, or treat … yields as a random walk process. In this study we consider the problem of forecasting the term structure of interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257019
In this paper we present an exact maximum likelihood treatment forthe estimation of a Stochastic Volatility in Mean(SVM) model based on Monte Carlo simulation methods. The SVM modelincorporates the unobserved volatility as anexplanatory variable in the mean equation. The same extension...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257033
wholesale power markets have only recently been deregulated. We introduce the weather factor into well-known forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257096
We present new results for the likelihood-based analysis of the dynamic factor model that possibly includes intercepts and explanatory variables. The latent factors are modelled by stochastic processes. The idiosyncratic disturbances are specified as autoregressive processes with mutually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257194
The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects. We modify the … forecasting weekly and monthly horizons. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257254