This paper theoretically assesses the role that uncertainty plays in the intensity of conflicts. The standard two-player rent-seeking contest model (Tullock, 1980) is extended to allow for privately known subjective values of the prize. The conflict is modeled as a Bayesian game on which each...

El desplazamiento de población es un fenómeno frecuente en los países inmersos en conflictos internos. El desplazamiento forzoso, además de afectar directamente a la población desplazada, contribuye a deteriorar las condiciones laborales de la población vulnerable en las comunidades...

Civilian displacement is a common phenomenon in developing countries confrontedwith internal conflict. While displacement directly affects forced migrants, it also contributes to deteriorating labor conditions of vulnerable groups in receiving communities. For the displaced population, the...

In this paper, we study how between-group wealth and size heterogeneity affectsuccess probabilities as well as aggregate rent-seeking efforts when two groups compete for the allocation of a pure public good. Unlike with previous models, we measure the utility cost of rent-seeking in terms of the...

Este trabajo analiza los efectos de largo plazo de la reforma agraria entendida como la asignación de tierras baldías sobre el desplazamiento forzado, el abandono y despojo de tierras, en un contexto concentración del poder político y aumentos en los retornos de la tierra. A partir de un...

We model the war on drugs in source countries as a conflict over scarce inputs of successive levels of the production and trafficking chain. We explicitly model the vertical structure of the drug trade as being composed of several stages, and study how different policies aimed at different...

El objetivo de este artículo es investigar la relación entre el conflicto armado y la producción agropecuaria de los pequeños productores colombianos. El efecto de la violencia se desagrega entre los impactos directos (choques violentos) e indirectos (presencia de grupos armados). Las...

Abstract This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed, in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through two channels: violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict....

Free media may not favor political accountability when other democratic institutions are weak, and may even bring undesirable unintended consequences. We propose a simple model in which politicians running for office may engage in coercion to obtain votes. A media scandal that exposes these...

This work offers an analysis of cooperation dilemmas making emphasis in the role of the unequal outcomes. Increases in the benefit from leaving mutual cooperation are associated to the greed dimension, while increases in the cost from leaving mutual defection are associated to fear dimension....