Using a new data set on investor sentiment we show that institutional and individualsentiment proxy for smart money and noise trader risk, respectively. First, usingbias-adjusted long-horizon regressions, we document that institutional sentiment forecastsstock market returns at intermediate...

The puzzling evidence of seemingly high momentum returns is related to an understanding ofrisk as a simple covariance. If we consider, however, risk in higher-order statistical moments,momentum returns appear less advantageous.

This study shows that order flow in a foreign exchange market only has permanent price impact if itcomes from certain regions. These regions are – as predicted by the local information hypothesis –centers of political and financial decision making. It is revealing that orders from other...