Monetary policy contributes to stabilize growth. Particularly in a reforming context for financial and economic activities, it is important to know how central bankers’ decisions through the short term interest rate of the money market are transmitted to the real variables: the GDP and the...

Can investors with irrational beliefs be neglected as long as they are rational on average ? Does unbiased disagreement lead to trades that cancel out with no consequences on prices, as implicitly assumed by the traditional models ? We show in this paper that there is an important impact of...

We extend the model of Leith and Wren-Lewis (2000) to the case of a monetary union. Within a two-country dynamic model with wealth private behaviours, we study the implications of stabilising public debt on monetary and fiscal policies. The model is a macroeconomic version of the Fiscal Theory...

We address the problem of a social planner who, as in Weitzman (2001), gathers data on discount rates and wants to infer the socially efficient consumption discount rate. We propose an equilibrium approach and we analyse the expression and the properties of the resulting equilibrium discount...

This article explains the role of the convenience yield in the relationships linking spot and futures prices in commodity derivatives markets. First, this variable restores the non arbitrage relationship between the prices of the underlying asset and the derivative instrument. Second, it allows...

Le rapport fait le point sur les interactions entre la volatilité des prix du pétrole et les stratégies des acteurs financiers. Il présente également les réflexions et actions en cours au niveau international pour améliorer le fonctionnement des marchés pétroliers. Et au final, il...

Le capitalisme financier est entré dans une crise profonde en 2007. Cette crise, d'abord bancaire et localisée dans le marché du crédit immobilier américain, est rapidement devenu mondiale,financière et réelle. Elle a remis en cause la forte croissance dont bénéficiait l'économie...