This doctoral thesis develops regime-switching models of the term structure of interest rates. A general framework is proposed to model the joint dynamics of yield curves associated with different debtors (Chapter 2). This framework is exploited to analyse the fluctuations of ten euro-area...

This thesis first presents India’s economy and financial system’s recent history and current issues. Then, with an emphasis on the recent turmoil period, it studies the question of financial integration in various markets: equity markets are dealt with in the 1st chapter, CDS spreads are...

We analyze empirically the determinants of Eurozone Treasury bills yields. Market microstructure as well as macroeconomic variables are found to significantly impact yields. Secondary trading in a centralized transparent electronic limit order book enhances liquidity and thus reduce yields....

This paper analyses the response of the euro yield curve to macroeconomic and monetary policy announcements. We present a new methodology for estimating the reaction of the euro swap curve to economic news in a data-rich environment. Given the sharp degree of interdependence between euro and US...

According to the Stern Report on climate change, the course of the next fifty years is set: present policies will impact only in the very long term, fifty to two hundred years from now. There is no market for interest rates, so far into the future, and economists must find other ways to set...

At the beginning of 2004, the Eurosystem implemented several modifications of its operational framework and liquidity management aiming at enhancing market efficiency. The purpose of this article is to study the effects of theses changes in the spread between the Eonia and the minimum bid rate....

This paper proposes a consumption-based model that accounts for term premiums of the nominal term structure of interest rates. The model focuses on ex ante term premiums, which depend on the volatility processes of real consumption and inflation. The contribution of the paper is to derive and...

Is the pricing of sovereign risk linear during bearish episodes? Or can initial shocks on economic fundamentals be exacerbated by endogenous factors that create nonlinearities? We test for nonlinearities in the sovereign bond market of European peripheral countries during the debt crisis and...

Can investors with irrational beliefs be neglected as long as they are rational on average ? Does unbiased disagreement lead to trades that cancel out with no consequences on prices, as implicitly assumed by the traditional models ? We show in this paper that there is an important impact of...