Showing 1 - 10 of 29
this paper, we assess the forecasting ability of several classes of time series models for electricity wholesale spot …
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,...) and their applications for the enterprise: demand analysis and forecasting of sales, financial econometrics, marketing and …
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This article documents the conditional and unconditional distributions of the realized volatility for the 2008 futures contract in the European climate exchange (ECX), which is valid under the EU emissions trading scheme (EU ETS). Realized volatility measures from naive, kernel-based and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708614
This paper evaluates the predictability of WTI light sweet crude oil futures by using the variance risk premium, i.e. the difference between model-free measures of implied and realized volatilities. Additional regressors known for their ability to explain crude oil futures prices are also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708762
This paper explores the forecasting abilities of Markov-Switching models. Although MS models generally display a … data for a wide range of specifications. In order to explain this poor performance, we use a forecasting error decomposition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072104
This article analyzes the modelling of risk premia in CO2 allowances spot and futures prices, valid for compliance under the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS). Similarly to electricity markets, a salient characteristic of CO2 allowances is that the theory of storage does not hold, as CO2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072123
The aim of this article is to investigate whether anticipated technological progress can be expected to be strong enough to offset carbon dioxide (CO2)emissions resulting from the rapid growth of air transport. Aviation CO2 emissions projections are provided at the worldwide level and for eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072424
This article proposes an econometric analysis of the demand for mobility in the aviation sector. The role played by different variables (GDP, jet-fuel prices, exogenous shocks, market maturity) on air traffic is estimated using dynamic panel-data modeling. GDP appears to have a positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011074078