In this paper, we implement Granger causalty tests using panel data as methodology perfected by Hurlin (2004, 2005) and Hurlin and Venet(2004). We consider the bilateral trade patterns of the European Union with 17 countries over the period 1976-2000. We show that for the whole sample, there are...

LICs have no access to international financial markets. Since the nineties, LICs have been granted debt relief by bilateral creditors andby international financing institutions, namely from 1996 on underHighly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative and from 2005 onunder Multilateral Debt...

We present two results concerning soybean prices. First, we exhibit a simple relationship between stocks and price volatility. The observation of an increasing price volatility with decreasing inventory is often mentioned in the literature, but has so far been documented using a proxy for...

Hedge fund replication based on factor models is encountering growing interest. In this paper, we investigate the implications of substituting standard rolling windows regressions, which appear ad-hoc, with more effcient methodologies like the Kalman flter. We show that the copycats constructed...

Pour certains, les prouesses macro-économiques auxquelles les Etats-Unis nous habituent ne sont pas le produit d'une politique habile, encore moins celui d'un hasard heureux : ils sont la preuve d'une profonde transformation industrielle et institutionnelle. Une double révolution,...

This paper takes full advantage of daily quoted prices of microfinance stocks from their issuance, and draws a global picture of worldwide microfinance equity from the viewpoint of a profit-oriented investor. We construct microfinance country equity indices and an international global...