The aim of this article is to investigate whether anticipated technological progress can be expected to be strong enough to offset carbon dioxide (CO2)emissions resulting from the rapid growth of air transport. Aviation CO2 emissions projections are provided at the worldwide level and for eight...

We examine the effects of collateral provision as a potential channel between funding liquidity tensions and the scarcity of market liquidity. This channel consists in transferring the credit risk associated with refinancing operations between financial institutions to market participants that...

The aim of this paper is to build and estimate a macroeconomic model of credit risk for the French manufacturing sector. This model is based on Wilson’s Credit Portfolio View model (1997a, 1997b); it enables us to simulate loss distributions for a credit portfolio for several macroeconomic...

We consider the channel consisting in transferring the credit risk associated with refinancing operations between financial institutions to market participants. In particular, we analyze liquidity and volatility premia on the French government debt securities market, since these assets are used...

This paper explores the forecasting abilities of Markov-Switching models. Although MS models generally display a superior in-sample fit relative to linear models, the gain in prediction remains small. We confirm this result using simulated data for a wide range of specifications. In order to...

This article provides jet fuel demand projections at the worldwide level and for eight geographical zones until 2025. Air traffic forecasts are performed using dynamic panel-data econometrics. Then, the conversion of air traffic projections into quantities of jet fuel is accomplished by using a...

Companies operate in an environment increasingly demanding in terms of flexibility and reactivity. The introduction of the entities resulting from Distributed Artificial Intelligence (DAI) and Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) in the management of enterprises prove to be an interesting technology to...

This article analyses energy efficiency coefficients and their evolution in the air transport sector. The proposed ’macro-level’ methodology allows obtaining energy efficiency coefficients and their growth rates (corresponding to the evolution of energy gains) from 1983 to 2006 for eight...

Cet article a pour objectif de présenter l'intérêt d'une théorie du quiproquo pour l'analyse, la compréhension et le pilotage des situations de conduite à risques. Dans cette optique, nous proposerons une nouvelle analyse d'une catastrophe bien connue : il s'agit de l'accident le plus...