The aim of this thesis is to analyze, from an empirical point of view, both the different varieties of economic and financial crises (typological analysis) and the context’s characteristics, which could be associated with a likely occurrence of such events. Consequently, we analyze both: years...

The main purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the effect of debt overhang on real equilibrium exchange rate. Using a panel of twenty Sub-Saharan African countries, we find a non linear effect of external public debt on real exchange rate. External public debt negatively affects the real...

The main objective of this paper is to study the relationship between external public debt and equilibrium real exchange rate in developing countries. Using a extension of Obstfeld & Rogoff (1995) model we show that debt overhang tend to appreciate real exchange rate in the long run (Krugman...

Depuis les années 2000, les déséquilibres financiers internationaux sont à nouveau au coeur des préoccupations. Face au déficit croissant de la balance courante américaine, le reste du monde accumule les excédents. Le paradoxe est évident : le pays le plus riche est celui qui vit le...

This article adopts the asymmetric DCC with one exogenous variable (ADCCX) model developed by Vargas (2008), by updating the concept of ‘volatility surprise’ to capture cross-market relationships. Current methods for measuring spillovers do not focus on volatility interactions, and neglect...

This article looks inside the black box of order flows to understand why order flows models of exchange rate are more competitive than traditional models of exchange rate. We set a theoretical model that relies on a behavioural exchange rate model and a microstructure model. The model puts...

Empirical evidence shows that fundamental models have produced disappointing results over the past 20 years while carry trade strategies have performed superbly. But the real picture is much more complex. In fact, the track records of both strategies have varied considerably. This article shows...

L'ouvrage présente une vision globale de la finance internationale. Avec les techniques financières, le marché des changes, la gestion des risques internationaux ou les places financières internationales.

This study extends the traditional set of central bank's interventions to include official announcements in order to provide empirical evidence on two pivotal questions: (i) are FX authorities able to influence market expectations with different instruments? (ii) how should interventions be...

La finalité de cet ouvrage est pédagogique. Il est destiné à faciliter l’acquisition des connaissances dans le domaine de la finance internationale et celui de la gestion des risques. Cette nouvelle édition, actualisée et rénovée, regroupe tous les thèmes importants de ces deux...