Cette étude présente une méthode empirique simple permettant d'évaluer l'impact des finances publiques sur la croissance à court terme, et plus précisément : a)l'impulsion discrétionnaire des finances publiques avant bouclage macroéconomique ; b) l'impact sur la croissance de...

Depuis 2003, la Turquie a entrepris de restaurer ses fondamentaux macro-économique en mettant en place, sous la houlette du FMI, un programme de lutte contre l’inflation, tendon d’Achille traditionnel du pays et une politique budgétaire d’austérité, caractérisée par le dégagement de...

In this paper, we investigate the interactions between public debt and transfer policies in a framework based on Floden [2001], that we extend to allow for transitional dynamics between steady states. First, we show that, starting from a high level of public debt, it is possible to implement a...

This paper proposes a new ‘World Volatility Index’, coined WVIX, by constructing the first index that approximates the aggregate volatility level of the G20 countries. The empirical analysis makes use of the factor dynamic conditional correlation model – with an automated methodology to...

With population ageing, fiscal consolidation has become of paramount importance for euro area countries. Consolidation can be pursued in various ways, with different effects on potential growth, which itself will be dragged down by ageing. A dynamic general equilibrium model with overlapping...

This paper reconsiders the impact of public debt in an economy with heterogeneous households and incomplete markets to emphasize the short-run effects of an increase in public debt. As compared to models that rest on steady-state analysis, we show that the welfare gains of a public debt increase...

This paper examines what economic policy has learned from the contemporary developments in economic research and which lessons have been drawn from them for the formulation and the implementation of French economic policy. Advances in research are grouped under three headings: the intertemporal...

Central Banker’s Behaviour in an Uncertain EnvironmentSeveral recent papers are devoted to the examination of the central banker’s behaviour in an uncertain economic environment. This paper proposes, from a central banker’s point of view, a synthesis of the main sources of uncertainty as...

When countries decide to coordinate and form a coalition, an outsider country can take advantage of the situation and gain more than an insider, hence creating a free-rider problem that could threaten the stability of the coalition. But as far as the Euro zone is concerned, the emphasis put on...

We analyze the relationship between legal institutions, innovation and growth. We compare a rigid (law set ex-ante) legal system and a exible one (law set after observing current technology). The exible system dominates in terms of welfare, amount of innovation and output growth at intermediate...