Quelles sont les méthodes de prévision des ventes ? Comment concevoir des systèmes intégrés de prévision ? Comment les évaluer ? A ces questions Régis Bourbonnais et Jean-Claude Usunier apportent des réponses opérationnelles. Après avoir présenté les notions statistiques et...

We consider H expected utility maximizers that have to share a risky aggregate multivariate endowment X∈RN and address the following two questions: does efficient risk-sharing imply restrictions on the form of individual consumptions as a function of X ? Can one identify the individual utility...

Funded private pillars are well developed in many countries such as the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Switzerland and the Netherlands. In France, the development of occupational pension plans has been limited. However, in this country, households tend to increase their personal...

Given a multi-dimensional Markov diffusion X, the Malliavin integration by parts formula provides a family of representations of the conditional expectation E[g(X 2)|X1]. The different representations are determined by some localizing functions. We discuss the problem of variance reduction...

This paper investigates the links between price returns for 25 commodities and stocks over the period from January 2001 to November 2011, by paying a particular attention to energy raw materials. Relying on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) GARCH methodology, we show that the...

Islamic and conventional investment funds have the same purpose. However, unlike conventional funds, Islamic funds offer different investment contracts and have to invest in accordance with a set of selection rules. This dissertation focuses on developing theoretical and empirical analysis...

The study of tail events has become a central preoccupation for academics, investors and policy makers, given the recent financial turmoil. However, the question on what differentiates a crash from a tail event remains unsolved. This article elaborates a new definition of stock market crash...