The recent observed decline of business cycle variability suggests that broad macroeconomic risk may have fallen as well. This may in turn have some impact on equity risk premia. We investigate the latent structures in the volatilities of the business cycle and stock market valuations by...

We propose an augmented version of the RBC model that can take into account the existence of lags in observation of demand shocks. This hypothesis seems to be a good framework to account for inventories fluctuations. We find some evidence showing the introduction of lag in observation as well as...

The aim of this paper is the identification of structural shocks which affect the dynamics of sectoral inventories, through an analysis of the forecasting error variance decomposition. This identification is achieved using the American and French time series of aggregate production, sectoral...

We show that adjustment cost models with labor supply can explain both asset returns and business cycle facts when adjustment costs penalize the changes of investment. This conclusion stands in contrast to results obtained in the literature with adjustment costs that penalize the changes of capital.

Les nations du sud de la zone Euro ont connu la prospérité dans les années qui ont suivi la création de la monnaie unique. Le bond de la consommation et l’élévation du niveau de vie se sont hélas révélés être des mirages. En favorisant un endettement massif, l’Euro a encouragé un...

The 2007-2009 financial crisis was caused by financial markets’ greed and instability and led to a strong rise public debts and deficits in advanced economies. Financial markets and international institutions advocate a “fiscal exit strategy” through rapid cuts in public deficits and debts...

Présente un scénario prospectif de la géographie des activités économiques en Europe suite à l'intégration monétaire, fondé sur l'observation des tendances récentes et sur les enseignements de la nouvelle économie géographique.