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important debate has emerged about the possible negative effects of aid volatility itself. However, the cushioning effect of aid … may involve some volatility in aid flows, which then is not necessarily negative for growth. In this paper the authors …-cyclical, is not necessarily destabilizing. They measure aid volatility by several methods and assess pro-cyclicality of aid with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707453
Would the U.S. economy's dynamic response to permanent technology shocks have been different from the actual responses if monetary authorities' systematic response to these shocks had been optimal ? To answer this question, we characterize the dynamic effects of permanent technology shocks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707505
his paper develops a model of carbon pricing by considering two fundamental drivers of European Union Allowances : economic activity and energy prices. On the one hand, economic activity is proxied by aggregated industrial production in the EU 27 (as it provides the best performance in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707603
This paper considers the impact of macroeconomic fluctuations on the optimal level of public debt. Households are subject to both aggregate and idiosyncratic risk and insurance market imperfectness prevents them from from fully insuring against risk. We find that the optimal level of public debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707703
This study uses aggregate panel data on 96 French départements for the period from 1982 to 2002 to investigate the relationship between macroeconomic conditions and mortality, controlling for local area and time fixed effects. Consistent with research using data from other countries, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707898
We propose an augmented version of the RBC model that can take into account the existence of lags in observation of demand shocks. This hypothesis seems to be a good framework to account for inventories fluctuations. We find some evidence showing the introduction of lag in observation as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707991
National accounts data indicate good performance since 1997. But how far can we trust this diagnostic given the weakness in official statistics? If the improvement in real growth reveals effective, do households benefit from it? To address these questions, this study analyzes reliable data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708214
The aim of this paper is the identification of structural shocks which affect the dynamics of sectoral inventories, through an analysis of the forecasting error variance decomposition. This identification is achieved using the American and French time series of aggregate production, sectoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708365
This paper explores the impact of elections on economic policies and governance in developing countries. We distinguish between a structural effect, which increases accountability, and a cyclical effect which may be disruptive. Since the effects are offsetting, neither can be analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708914
This paper analyses the effects of money shocks on macroeconomic aggregates in a tractable flexible-price, incomplete-markets environment that generates persistent wealth inequalities amongst agents. In this framework, current inflation redistribute wealth from the cash-rich employed to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709017