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With population ageing, fiscal consolidation has become of paramount importance for euro area countries. Consolidation can be pursued in various ways, with different effects on potential growth, which itself will be dragged down by ageing. A dynamic general equilibrium model with overlapping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707309
Cet article pose les premières bases d’un modèle de marketing sensoriel qui articulerait les concepts d’évocation, d’inférence, et de niveau de stimulation des consommateurs. Nous faisons l’hypothèse que le consommateur doit être suffisamment stimulé pour que le processus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072452
La crise mondiale et celle, plus récente, dans la zone euro ont eu tendance à raccourcir l’horizon prévisionnel et décisionnel de nombreux agents économiques. Dans le même temps, les incertitudes (sur l’emploi, les retraites…) poussent plutôt à la remontée du taux d’épargne des...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072915
We reinvestigate the issue of excess comovements of commodity prices initially raised in Pindyck and Rotemberg (1990). While Pindyck and Rotemberg and following contributions consider this issue using an arbitrary set of control variables, we develop our analysis using recent development in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707568
Econometrics has strongly evolved in recent years on both the methodological level as well as in terms of applications. This article presents the different econometric methods (time series econometrics, information panels, models of duration,...) and their applications for the enterprise: demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707618
As both speculative and hedging financial flows into commodity futures are expected to link commodity price formation more strongly to equity indices, we investigate whether these processes also create increased correlation amongst the commodities themselves. Considering U.S. oil and gas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010707996
We proceed to an impulse-response analysis on the conditional correlations between three stock indices returns: the S&P 500, the ftse 100 and the Nikkei 225. As a first step, a general asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ga-dcc) model proposed by Cappiello, Engle and Sheppard [2006] is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708045
I use a dynamic microsimulation model to analyse the distributional effects of an expansion of education in Côte d'Ivoire in the medium and long term (1998-2015). The simulations are performed in order to replicate several policies in force or subject to debate in this country. Various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708093
We extend the model of Leith and Wren-Lewis (2000) to the case of a monetary union. Within a two-country dynamic model with wealth private behaviours, we study the implications of stabilising public debt on monetary and fiscal policies. The model is a macroeconomic version of the Fiscal Theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708430
According to the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL), the interactions between monetary and fiscal policies with governments facing the possibility to act in a non-Ricardian manner make the general price level be fully determined. Here, depending on the expectations framework, we show to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010708455