A second-generation model of currency crises is combined with a standard model ofbanks as providers of insurance against liquidity risk. In a pegged exchange rateregime, after funds have been committed to the banks, news arrives about the qualityof the banks’ assets and about the exchange rate...

The standard model of currency crises is amended to distinguish betweenunemployment aversion and financial fragility. Fragility is assumed to affect theauthorities’ sensitivity to a combination of high real interest rates and unemployment.An increase in fragility expands the region of...

Long-run economic growth is analysed in a global model with many small countriesprone to national level total factor productivity shocks. The possibility ofprecautionary saving or dissaving is a function of the higher-order moments and thecross-moments of the factor income distributions, which...

This paper analyses a model of overlapping generations in which agents who do notparticipate in the labor market are unable to borrow. Thus an increase in a fullyfunded pension raises aggregate savings even with a fixed participation rate, sinceprivate savings are not crowded out one-for-one....