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In this paper we develop a simple procedure which delivers tests for the pres-ence of a broken trend in a univariate time series which do not require knowledgeof the form of serial correlation in the data and are robust as to whether theshocks are generated by an I(0) or an I(1) process. Two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868622
It is known that Dickey-Fuller tests can lead to spurious rejections of the unit root nullhypothesis when the true generating process is difference-stationary with a break.Suppose now that an unsuccessful attempt is made to allow for a break, either throughmisplaced dummy variables or through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005869190
We test for mean reversion in real exchange rates using data from five countries, four of whichhave experienced episodes of high inflation. We use monthly data for Argentina, Brazil, Chile,Colombia and Israel from 1972 to 1993 and find that in all cases except Brazil a stochastic unitroot model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005869305
In this paper we derive, under the assumption of Gaussian errors with known errorcovariance matrix, asymptotic local power bounds for seasonal unit root tests for bothknown and unknown deterministic scenarios and for an arbitrary seasonal aspect. Wedemonstrate that the optimal test of a unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005868620