This exploratory issue paper begins with a statement by Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, which outlines what a well-functioning global financial system would achieve, followed by his dry statement that the current global financial system does none of these things. The paper...

An important assumption underlying traditional theories of financial time-series behaviour is that consecutive changes in the price of an asset (ie. asset returns) are independent of each other. For analysts seeking to predict the future value of an asset, this implies that the best step-ahead...